Sunday, October 16, 2011

St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index


This index is relatively new and is similar to the longer running Kansas City Fed financial stress index. Both have been rising lately, but are not even close to the stress shown in 2008.

The St. Louis FSI is built from the following 18 weekly data series:

Interest Rates:
  • Effective federal funds rate
  • 2-year Treasury
  • 10-year Treasury
  • 30-year Treasury
  • Baa-rated corporate
  • Merrill Lynch High-Yield Corporate Master II Index
  • Merrill Lynch Asset-Backed Master BBB-rated
Yield Spreads:
  • Yield curve: 10-year Treasury minus 3-month Treasury
  • Corporate Baa-rated bond minus 10-year Treasury
  • Merrill Lynch High-Yield Corporate Master II Index minus 10-year Treasury
  • 3-month London Interbank Offering Rate–Overnight Index Swap (LIBOR-OIS) spread
  • 3-month Treasury-Eurodollar (TED) spread
  • 3-month commercial paper minus 3-month Treasury bill
Other Indicators:
  • J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus
  • Chicago Board Options Exchange Market Volatility Index (VIX)
  • Merrill Lynch Bond Market Volatility Index (1-month)
  • 10-year nominal Treasury yield minus 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Security yield (breakeven inflation rate)
  • Vanguard Financials Exchange-Traded Fund (equities)
I've added the FSI to the link list as a useful indicator to watch.

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